Thursday, October 18, 2012

RCP Sends North Carolina to Romney

Real Clear Politics moved North Carolina to the Leans Romney column which now puts the former Governor of Massachusetts in the Electoral Vote lead 206-201 with 131 toss ups in 10 states.

The lead may be short-lived however as both Pennsylvania (20) and Michigan (16) are closing back in on +5 for Obama and may be put back in the President's column which would then swing 237-206.

Many of the Senate races also seem to be in doubt with RCP currently showing 11 Tossup races and the Democrats holding a 48-43 lead in the Leans or Likely races.  Of the 11 toss ups, there are 7 races where the incumbent is not running, and 2 of each party where the incumbent is not running.    In all there will be a minimum of 12 new Senators in 2013.

In the House, RCP projects the GOP to keep their majority by at least a 226-183 margin (currently 241-194) and 218 are needed for the majority.  There are 26 races at the moment which are considered toss ups. 16 of the toss ups are Republican, 7 Democrat, 1 is new (CA41) and 2 are redistricting losses where two incumbents from different parties are running against each other (IA3) and (OH16).  
 

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