First of all, RealClearPolitics as expected moved Michigan from Leaning Obama to Toss Up adding 16 EV's to the Toss Up Category. Current Totals are Obama 201 Romney 181 Toss Up 156 (12 states).
This morning a slew of state polls were released including Ohio (O6, O1, R1); Florida (O1); Colorado (R1); Virginia (O5; R1) Nevada (O2) Wisconsin (O3) Michigan (O7, O2) and Pennsylvania (O8)
Note: A number next to the Candidate's initial indicates the poll is on that Candidates Side O2 is Obama up by 2; R2 is Romney up by two.
We will probably see more frequent polling by state in the last few weeks of the election. At first glance it appears the Romney Debate bounce is ebbing and things are turning slightly back to the President.
Looking a little deeper at the polls here is what we find:
Ohio
NBC/WSJ 10/1 O8; 10/9 O6; Net R2;
Rasmussen 10/4 O1; 10/10 O1; Net No Change
Gravis 9/22 O1; 10/10 R1; Net Change R2;
Virginia
NBC/WSJ 10/1 O2; 10/9 R1; Net R3
CBS/NYT 9/17 O4; 10/9 O5; Net O1
Michigan
Detroit News 9/17 O14; 10/8 O7; Net R7;
Gravis 9/22 O4; 10/8 O2; Net R2;
Florida
NBC/WSJ 10/1 O1; 10/9 O1; Net No Change;
One of the problems with RCP is that they take the most recent polls over a certain amount of time, it's not a one to one replacement (i.e. the new NBC/WSJ poll doesn't replace the previous NBC/WSJ which would record the swing of that poll. Another problem is that they take just about every poll published, even those without a trend like one in Florida from the University of North Florida showing Obama +4 without any reference since it's the first time it's been released. That's not to say that it's wrong, but it does skew the average a little bit higher for Obama than all of the other polls in the average.
Expect more polls released during the day, but Rasmussen tracking is showing Obama back in the Lead nationally +1, which is a 2 point swing from yesterday's R1.
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