There is no question that the polls are skewed, the question is are they skewed right or left. Too many Democrats, not enough Hispanics? The problem as I see it is that a many pollsters are. historically off by 2-4 points in their final tally (and a couple are dead on usually.) But in that case a poll that is +1.9 for Obama and actuals are +0.1 for Romney, are not really wrong. We've talked about it before but if the Margin Of Error is even as low as 2 on a poll, that means there could be up to a 4 point swing and still be in the MOE.
This is why in today's RealClearPolitics Roundup, the partisans are still predicting victory.
Here's a sample of the headlines:
Mitt's Many Mistakes Will Doom Him - Robert Shrum, The Daily Beast
Bottom Line: Romney 315, Obama 223 - Michael Barone, DC Examiner
Time Is Running Out for Mitt Romney - Charles Blow, New York Times
Gallup Points to Very Long Election Night for Dems - Michael Franc, NRO
Obama in Good Shape With 3 Days Left - Greg Sargent, Washington Post
Au Revoir, Mr. President - Emmett Tyrrell, The American Spectator
Meanwhile two polls in Florida show different results: Mason Dixon Romney +6 NBC/WSJ Obama +2.
I had planned to make a prediction, but I have no idea at this point. And with very few National Polls this week, especially tracking, because of the storm, this Election Night could be very interesting. But whatever the result, there are going to be lots of surprised and disappointed people on Wednesday as both sides are truly believing in the victory of their guy.
